TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a specific soccer match between Bristol City and Lincoln. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed various thresholds, providing insight into the match's offensive intensity. It reflects the competitive nature of the game without predicting a specific winner.
The event evaluates multiple markets based on the total goals scored in the Bristol City vs Lincoln EFL Championship match scheduled for September 15, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals: over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the combined goals from both teams must exceed the specified threshold within the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from all calculations. The resolution hinges solely on the final goal count at the end of regular time, making each threshold a distinct measure of the match's scoring volume. All markets operate independently, and the event is unaffiliated with the governing league or its trademarks.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess the probability of various outcomes. This can lead to differences, as prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd and are less susceptible to biases inherent in traditional oddsmaking. It’s common to see this market’s implied probabilities diverge from sportsbook lines, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts closer to the event date.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Bristol City vs Lincoln match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. A higher price indicates a greater perceived likelihood of that goal total, while a lower price suggests a lower probability. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the final outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Bristol City vs Lincoln match will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics as reported by a recognized sports data provider. It’s important to note that any potential postponements or cancellations of the match may affect the resolution timeline, but the outcome will always be determined by the official result of the game.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Bristol City or Lincoln would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather forecasts could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups closer to the match time could also cause volatility. Furthermore, general football news and analysis, as well as public betting patterns, can all contribute to fluctuations in the price of contracts on Kalshi.