TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 4:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the outcome of a single soccer match between Bristol City FC and Watford FC scheduled for September 18, 2026. Markets exist for Bristol City winning, Watford winning, and the game ending in a draw. All platforms focus on the result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Friday, September 18, 2026 between Bristol City FC and Watford FC.
The market outcome depends on the result of the Bristol City vs Watford professional EFL Championship soccer game scheduled for September 18, 2026. If Bristol City wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the 'Bristol City' market resolves to Yes. If Watford achieves victory under identical conditions, the 'Watford' market resolves to Yes. In the event the match ends in a tie following regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to exceed 48 hours from the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for September 18, 2026, 19:00 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi for the Bristol City vs. Watford match can arise due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information, leading to differing opinions on the likely outcome. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can result in greater price volatility and divergence. Furthermore, the specific market structures and fee schedules on Polymarket and Kalshi can influence trading behavior and, consequently, the prices observed. These differences reflect the dynamic nature of prediction markets and the diverse perspectives of participants.