TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 5:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Bristol City FC and Lincoln City FC. Currently, the consensus probability of Lincoln City FC winning on September 8, 2026, is 100.0%. This prediction aggregates data from Kalshi, Limitless, and Polymarket, and will resolve based on the official results reported by https://www.efl.com/. Note that resolution rules differ slightly across platforms regarding game cancellations and the specified match date, so be sure to monitor the outcome of the match scheduled for September 15, 2026, to see if a winner is determined.
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Tuesday, September 8, 2026 between Bristol City FC and Lincoln City FC.
The event resolves based on the result of the Bristol City vs Lincoln professional EFL Championship soccer game scheduled for September 15, 2026. If Bristol City wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the 'Bristol City' market resolves to Yes. If Lincoln wins under the same conditions, the 'Lincoln' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price. The outcome excludes extra time and penalty phases, focusing strictly on regulation time results.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for September 15, 2026, 18:45 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds, like those reflected in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms of price discovery. Sportsbooks set odds based on expert analysis and modeled probabilities, while prediction markets derive prices from the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This market benefits from the diverse opinions of participants, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as new information emerges. Furthermore, prediction markets generally have lower overhead, resulting in better odds for informed bettors. The difference between these odds and sportsbook odds can represent a valuable opportunity for arbitrage.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds for this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions for either Bristol City or Lincoln City could significantly impact predictions. Additionally, shifts in public sentiment, driven by media coverage or social media discussions, can also move the market. Finally, late-breaking news regarding weather conditions or pitch quality could also play a role in how traders assess the likelihood of different outcomes for the Bristol City vs. Lincoln City match.