TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Sydney FC - More Markets
Volume:
$231,711
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Brisbane Roar FC vs. Sydney FC A-League match scheduled for April 2, 2026. Markets span spread betting (goal margin thresholds), over/under total goals, and both-teams-to-score outcomes, all resolving on the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi spread markets use binary YES/NO resolution for either-team-wins-by-margin outcomes, while Polymarket uses team-specific outcomes. The numerical thresholds are mathematically equivalent (>1.5 goals = ≥2 goals, >2.5 goals = ≥3 goals) but the market structure and payout mechanics differ.Hero Tip:
If you are trading spread markets, verify whether your platform pays out on either team exceeding the margin (Kalshi YES) or only on a specific team exceeding it (Polymarket). The over/under and both-teams-to-score markets are consistent across both platforms and can be safely arbitraged.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Spread markets resolve to named team outcomes: Sydney FC (-1.5) resolves YES if Sydney wins by 2+ goals, otherwise Brisbane wins the market. Brisbane (-1.5) resolves YES if Brisbane wins by 2+ goals, otherwise Sydney wins. Identical logic for -2.5 spreads (3+ goal margin). Quote: 'This market will resolve to Sydney FC if Sydney FC win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to Brisbane Roar FC.'
- Kalshi: Spread markets are binary YES/NO: 'If Sydney FC wins by more than 2.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes' and separately 'If Brisbane wins by more than 2.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.' No team-specific outcome naming; both teams can trigger YES on separate markets. Quote: 'If Sydney FC wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Brisbane vs Sydney FC professional A-League soccer game... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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