TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the A-League soccer match between Brisbane Roar FC and Perth Glory FC scheduled for February 28, 2026. Markets span binary win/draw outcomes and margin-of-victory thresholds across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi offer different market architectures (binary outcomes vs. margin thresholds) for the same underlying event. Additionally, Polymarket's draw market contains a contradictory cancellation rule that conflicts with the win markets.Hero Tip:
These are complementary but distinct market types. Polymarket traders should flag the draw cancellation rule as ambiguous—if the game is canceled, does the draw market resolve YES while win markets resolve NO, or do all three resolve NO? Kalshi margin markets are straightforward: they resolve YES only if the specified margin is exceeded after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Do not assume Polymarket and Kalshi will settle identically.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Offers three binary markets: Perth Win, Brisbane Win, and Draw. All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation with no make-up resolves Perth/Brisbane to NO but Draw to YES. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (draw market only).Kalshi:
Offers four margin-of-victory markets: Perth >2.5 goals, Perth >1.5 goals, Brisbane >1.5 goals, Brisbane >2.5 goals. All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time (no extra time or penalties). No explicit cancellation clause; implicit resolution is NO if game does not occur.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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