TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 5:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the AFL Women match between Brisbane Lions and Adelaide Crows, scheduled for September 20 at 3:05AM ET. This market will resolve to "Brisbane Lions" if Brisbane Lions is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Adelaide Crows" if Adelaide Crows is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the AFL Women match between Brisbane Lions and Adelaide Crows, scheduled for September 20 at 3:05AM ET. This market will resolve to "Brisbane Lions" if Brisbane Lions is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Adelaide Crows" if Adelaide Crows is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring; a higher price indicates greater confidence. The market's efficiency relies on active participation and informed traders seeking to capitalize on perceived mispricings. This dynamic process aims to converge towards the true probability of the event.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Brisbane Lions versus Adelaide Crows AFL match. The platform will verify the final score against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be entitled to a payout based on their shareholdings at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Sep 27, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either the Brisbane Lions or the Adelaide Crows would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected team selection announcements, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, any news regarding team morale, internal conflicts, or performance in recent matches could contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.