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Brisbane Bullets vs. Illawarra Hawks
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Brisbane Bullets vs. Illawarra Hawks?

Volume:
$212,087

Brisbane Bullets

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 25, 2026

Closed: Sep 25, 7:24 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Brisbane Bullets

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$101,597
N/A
N/A
$48,199
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Brisbane Bullets (-6.5)

View
100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.7¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Brisbane Bullets vs. Illawarra Hawks

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$41,947
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 15h 54m
Yes
polymarket

O/U 187.5

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.7¢
N/A
$12,868
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Illawarra Hawks

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$55,671
N/A
N/A
$35,205
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This prediction group concerns the outcome of a National Basketball League (NBL) game between the Brisbane Bullets and the Illawarra Hawks. The market resolves to the winning team, or splits 50/50 if the game is canceled without a reschedule.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: A significant date discrepancy exists between the two platforms, with Kalshi referencing a game in 2026 and Polymarket referencing a game in 2024.Hero tip: Focus on Polymarket as the likely correct source given the current date. The Kalshi market appears to be for a future game and may not be relevant.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winner of the game scheduled for September 25 at 5:30AM ET. "If the Brisbane Bullets win, the market will resolve to 'Brisbane Bullets'. If the Illawarra Hawks win, the market will resolve to 'Illawarra Hawks'."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either the Brisbane Bullets or Illawarra Hawks win the game originally scheduled for Sep 25, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. "If Brisbane Bullets wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Illawarra Hawks wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NBL game, scheduled for September 25 at 5:30AM ET: If the Brisbane Bullets win, the market will resolve to "Brisbane Bullets". If the Illawarra Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Illawarra Hawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the official result of the Illawarra Hawks vs Brisbane Bullets men's professional Australia NBL basketball game scheduled for September 25, 2026, at 5:30 AM EDT. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final outcome. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. The markets are separate for each team, with each resolving to Yes if that specific team wins the game, and No otherwise. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on quantitative models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by real-money incentives, encouraging participants to thoroughly research and express their genuine beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may incorporate information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. However, both aim to accurately predict the outcome, and comparing the odds across both can provide a more comprehensive view of the event’s probabilities.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to variations in trader participation, market design, and the specific incentives offered on each platform. Polymarket might attract a different demographic of traders with unique insights, leading to different probability assessments compared to Kalshi. Additionally, the volume of trading on each platform – currently $209,431 in 24-hour volume – can influence price discovery. These factors contribute to the dynamic pricing observed across these prediction markets, offering opportunities for arbitrage and highlighting the diverse perspectives within the prediction community.