TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 23, 11:02 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether either team secures a decisive lead over their opponent by a specific number of goals. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates multiple potential outcomes of a professional English Premier League soccer match scheduled for August 23, 2026, between Brighton and Aston Villa. Resolution depends on the goal differential at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty kicks. Four distinct criteria define a 'Yes' outcome: Brighton winning by more than 2.5 goals, Brighton winning by more than 1.5 goals, Aston Villa winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Aston Villa winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each criterion represents a separate condition under which the event would resolve positively. The governing body for the match is the English Premier League, but Kalshi, the platform facilitating this event, clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the league. All trademarks and branding associated with the teams and league remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds for this market based on their expectations of the goal difference when Brighton faces Aston Villa. The current implied probability reflects the market’s view of which side is favored to win by a specific margin, with price adjustments happening as new information or betting activity emerges.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread is calculated based on official match results and approved scoring, closing the market once the data is beyond dispute.
In the run-up to Aug 23, 2026, anything that shifts expectations about team form, injuries, or tactical changes could move this market. Key influences include pre-match analyses, player availability announcements, and early in-game scoring dynamics — all of which can cause rapid reassessments of the likely goal spread among traders on Kalshi.