This event group covers the outcome of a professional English Premier League soccer match between Brentford FC and Arsenal FC scheduled for February 12, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track three mutually exclusive outcomes: a draw, a Brentford win, or an Arsenal win, all determined within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms apply identical resolution windows (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties) and recognize the same three mutually exclusive match outcomes.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Premier League records and match statistics as of the final whistle on February 12, 2026.
Core resolution logic:
Match outcome is determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded.
Three mutually exclusive outcomes resolve: Brentford FC win, Arsenal FC win, or draw.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Polymarket resolves draw markets to Yes and win markets to No; Kalshi does not explicitly address this scenario but implies no resolution occurs unless the match is played.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed.
Match Cancellation Without Makeup: Polymarket: draw market resolves Yes, Brentford win resolves No, Arsenal win resolves No. Kalshi: no explicit guidance; markets would likely remain unresolved or be voided.
Stoppage Time Determination: Resolution is based on the final score after the referee signals the end of regular play plus any added stoppage time, as determined by official Premier League records.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the final whistle on February 12, 2026, or on the rescheduled match date if postponed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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