TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 5, 6:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Brazil will score more than 0.5 goals during regulation time and stoppage time in their FIFA World Cup match against Norway. On Kalshi, the probability of Brazil exceeding this threshold stands at 73.0%. The market resolves based on official goal tallies recorded within the 90-minute regulation period plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Watch for Brazil's lineup announcement and recent form leading up to the July 5, 2026 match kickoff, as team composition and momentum often signal scoring capacity in World Cup fixtures.
All markets resolve based on official goals scored during the Brazil vs Norway FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled for July 5, 2026, measured through 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). Separate markets track Brazil and Norway team totals at four threshold levels: over 0.5 goals, over 1.5 goals, over 2.5 goals, and over 3.5 goals. Own goals count toward the team to which the goal is officially awarded. Each market resolves to Yes if the specified team exceeds the stated goal threshold during regulation time; otherwise it resolves to No.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus and real-money conviction. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper or more efficient pricing than traditional sportsbooks, particularly as new information emerges closer to kickoff. Comparing the two can reveal where the broader market sees value or disagreement on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers that determine the real-time odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders profit or lose based on whether their prediction of the combined team total aligns with the final verified result. The price reflects the collective belief of all active traders, adjusting dynamically as new positions are entered and information about team lineups or conditions becomes available.
This market resolves around Jul 5, 2026, once the Brazil vs Norway match concludes and the final regulation-time goal count is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the combined total goals scored by both teams during the 90 minutes of regulation play, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout. Resolution occurs after the official match result is confirmed and recorded by authoritative sports data providers.
Key catalysts for this market include team news such as injuries to star players, confirmed starting lineups, and recent form or head-to-head history. Weather conditions on match day, venue factors, and any late tactical adjustments can shift expectations around pace and scoring. As kickoff approaches, live updates on team morale, betting syndicate activity, or analyst commentary may trigger sharp repricing. Early goals or defensive setups during the match itself will drive the most dramatic swings in trader positioning.