TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 5, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This event group tracks the outcome of a FIFA World Cup match between Brazil and Norway, with 59 markets spanning goal totals, spreads, and team-specific scoring across Polymarket and Predict. The leading market, Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 0.5, shows a consensus probability of 100.0% across aggregated platforms. All markets resolve according to official final score data from FIFA.com as published within 90 minutes of the conclusion of regular play plus stoppage time, or credible reporting consensus if official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours. Watch for the match kickoff on July 5, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET, which will determine settlement across all linked markets.
More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 5 at 4:00 PM ET.
More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 5 at 4:00 PM ET.
Polymarket and Predict may price this market differently due to variations in user base, liquidity depth, and contract design. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts traders with different risk tolerances and information sets, so order flow and marginal pricing can diverge. Polymarket focuses on team advancement odds, while Predict emphasizes goal totals, creating structural differences in how each market aggregates belief. Arbitrage traders often exploit these gaps, but transaction costs and withdrawal delays can prevent prices from converging completely.
Key catalysts include team roster announcements, injury reports, recent form and head-to-head records, and pre-match media sentiment. Betting line movements at major sportsbooks often precede prediction market shifts, so monitoring those can provide early signals. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and late-breaking tactical changes can also influence trader positioning. As the match date approaches, this market typically sees increased volatility and volume as uncertainty narrows and new information emerges.