TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 5, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This event group tracks which team (Brazil or Norway) scores first in their July 5, 2026 match at 4:00 PM ET, with resolution based on the first goal within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Both platforms offer three mutually exclusive outcomes: Brazil, Norway, or Neither (if no goal is scored in regulation).
In the upcoming match between Brazil and Norway, scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Brazil" if Brazil are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Norway" if Norway are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Brazil and Norway, scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Brazil" if Brazil are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Norway" if Norway are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences arise because each platform attracts distinct trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures. Polymarket may have deeper liquidity in soccer markets, allowing prices to converge faster toward true probability. Predict might see different user behavior or lower volume, causing temporary mispricings. Geographic and regulatory factors also play a role—traders in different regions may have access to different information or betting alternatives. Arbitrage traders exploit these gaps, but friction costs and withdrawal delays can prevent full convergence. Monitoring both platforms helps identify which is pricing this outcome more efficiently.
Team news—injuries to key strikers or defensive players—can shift odds significantly. Lineup announcements closer to kickoff often trigger sharp repricing as traders gain clarity on formations and attacking intent. Recent form, head-to-head records, and weather conditions at the venue also influence expectations. Major betting syndicates or institutional traders entering the market can move prices rapidly. Social media sentiment and expert predictions may sway retail traders. Finally, any official delays or venue changes could extend the market window and create volatility. Tracking these catalysts helps traders time entries and exits effectively.