TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Brazil: 6+
all
2 markets
Kalshi
Polymarket
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 14, 2026
Closed: Jun 13, 8:04 PM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks the total number of corner kicks expected during the Brazil vs. Morocco FIFA World Cup match. Across Limitless, Kalshi, and Polymarket, the aggregated consensus shows 100.0% probability on the leading outcome, with resolution determined by official FIFA records. The match is scheduled for June 13, 2026, with the betting period closing on June 14, 2026, so monitor team lineups and tactical formations announced in the days leading up to kickoff, as these will significantly influence corner frequency.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: Two distinct divergences detected: (1) Kalshi includes extra time periods while Limitless and Polymarket explicitly exclude them, creating different settlement thresholds for the same underlying event; (2) Cancellation protocols differ, with Polymarket using 50-50 resolution versus Limitless using NO resolution.Hero tip: Monitor whether Brazil vs. Morocco proceeds to extra time. If it does, Kalshi will count additional corners that Limitless and Polymarket will not, causing systematic divergence in outcomes. For cancellation risk, Polymarket's 50-50 protocol is more favorable than Limitless's automatic NO. Confirm final match scheduling and any postponement announcements before June 13, 2026.Critical divergence points:
- Limitless: Resolves on regular time only (90 minutes + stoppage time). Threshold: 11+ total corners = YES. Cancellation before start or postponement beyond August 13, 2026 = NO. Cancellation after start = resolves on data recorded to that point. Key quote: 'regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only)' and 'If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 13, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to NO.'
- Kalshi: Includes entire game including extra time periods. Multiple thresholds: Brazil 6+, Brazil 8+, Brazil 10+, Morocco 4+, Morocco 6+, Morocco 8+ all resolve YES. No explicit cancellation protocol. Key quote: 'during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods)' with no cancellation clause specified.
- Polymarket: Resolves on regular time only (90 minutes + stoppage time). Multiple thresholds: 11.5 (12+ corners), 10.5 (11+ corners), 9.5 (10+ corners), 8.5 (9+ corners). Cancellation with no make-up = 50-50 resolution. Key quote: 'This market refers only to corners taken within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Corners awarded during extra time or penalty shootouts do not count.' and 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Polymarket
Total corners markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Brazil and Morocco, scheduled for June 13 at 6:00 PM ET.
Kalshi
Resolution is based on corner kick counts for Brazil and Morocco during the Brazil vs Morocco FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 13, 2026, measured throughout the entire game including regulation, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. Brazil's corner thresholds are 6+, 8+, and 10+ corners, while Morocco's thresholds are 4+, 6+, and 8+ corners. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of corners taken by Brazil and Morocco is 11 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for June 13, 2026, 22:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 13, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
Frequently asked questions
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences between Polymarket and Kalshi can stem from distinct user bases, liquidity depth, fee structures, and market-making incentives. Polymarket may attract different trader demographics or have tighter spreads in certain outcome ranges, while Kalshi may see concentrated volume on one side. Arbitrage opportunities and timing lags between platforms can also cause temporary price gaps. These divergences typically narrow as resolution approaches and informed traders exploit mispricings.
Key catalysts include team lineup announcements, injury updates to key players, recent corner trends for both sides, and tactical shifts. Brazil and Morocco's historical corner rates, head-to-head patterns, and playing style will influence expectations. Weather conditions, referee tendencies, and tournament context also matter. As match day approaches, late-breaking news—such as formation changes or player availability—can trigger sharp repricing across Polymarket and Kalshi.
