TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 13, 8:20 PM EST
Kalshi
In a FIFA World Cup soccer match between Brazil and Morocco, this event tracks whether specific players from either team record a goal or assist during the full match including regulation, stoppage time, and any extra time periods.
This event resolves based on whether designated players from Brazil and Morocco record either a goal or an assist during the entire Brazil vs Morocco FIFA World Cup soccer game scheduled for June 13, 2026. The event encompasses all play during regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. For each player tracked, resolution occurs once that player enters the game, with settlement based on their recorded goals and assists. If a player is listed as active but never enters the match, the market settles to the last fair market price established before the game began. Players from Brazil include Bruno Guimaraes, Gabriel Magalhaes, Marquinhos, Matheus Cunha, Raphinha, and Vinicius Junior. Players from Morocco include Achraf Hakimi, Ayoub El Kaabi, Bilal El Khannouss, and Brahim Diaz.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders competing to forecast the actual outcome. Prediction markets tend to incorporate real-time information and crowd wisdom more dynamically, sometimes leading to sharper or earlier price moves than traditional sportsbooks. Comparing the two can reveal where market consensus differs from bookmaker positioning on the Brazil vs Morocco match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective belief about whether a score or assist will occur, with higher prices indicating stronger conviction. As new information emerges or trading volume shifts, prices adjust in real time, allowing you to enter or exit positions at market rates determined by live supply and demand.
This market resolves around Jun 14, 2026, once the Brazil vs Morocco match concludes and the outcome is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be confirmed based on whether any player scores or records an assist during regulation and any extra time played. Resolution hinges on official match records and widely reported statistics, ensuring clarity and fairness for all traders.
Several catalysts could shift odds before Jun 14, 2026. Team news—injuries to key forwards or midfielders, lineup announcements, or tactical changes—can alter scoring probability significantly. Pre-match analysis, expert predictions, and betting trends from sportsbooks may influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions, venue details, and head-to-head form between Brazil and Morocco could also sway expectations. As the match approaches, any official confirmations about player availability or formation adjustments will likely trigger price movement in this market.