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405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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Brazil vs. Japan - Player Props
predict
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win Brazil vs Japan?

Volume:
$1,238,789

Bruno Guimaraes

 - Kalshi

Bruno Guimaraes - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 16, 2026

Closed: Jun 29, 2:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Bruno Guimaraes

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$27,900
N/A
N/A
$24,599
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Casemiro: 1+ goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20,210
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Casemiro

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,837
N/A
N/A
$14,107
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Gabriel Magalhaes

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,904
N/A
N/A
$11,186
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Bruno Guimarães: 1+ assists

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,391
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kaishu Sano

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,707
N/A
N/A
$7,538
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Lucas Paquetá: 1+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,068
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,021
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Vinícius Júnior: 3+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$2,388
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ayase Ueda: 1+ shots on target

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$564
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Matheus Cunha: 3+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$526
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Bruno Guimarães: 2+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$495
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ayase Ueda: 2+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$367
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ayase Ueda: 1+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$316
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Bruno Guimarães: 1+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$276
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Casemiro: 1+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$273
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Vinícius Júnior: 2+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$244
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Matheus Cunha: 2+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.5¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Endrick: 1+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Rayan: 1+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
$142
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Casemiro: 2+ shots

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$135
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Bruno Guimarães: 1+ shots on target

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$131
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Casemiro: 1+ goals + assists

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$131
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots on target

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$114
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Casemiro: 2+ shots on target

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 276

Intro

This market tracks whether Japanese forward Ayase Ueda will record at least one shot on target during the Brazil vs. Japan FIFA World Cup match. Across Predict, Kalshi, and Polymarket, the aggregated consensus stands at 99.9% for this outcome, reflecting strong market confidence in Ueda's offensive involvement. Resolution will be determined by official FIFA statistics. Watch for the match kickoff on June 29, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, as this is the event window during which shot-on-target performance will be recorded and settled.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Time window scope divergence: Predict and Polymarket explicitly exclude extra time and penalty shoot-outs (90 minutes + stoppage only), while Kalshi includes entire game duration including extra time periods. This creates fundamentally different resolution outcomes if the match extends beyond regular time.Hero tip: If Brazil vs Japan goes to extra time, Kalshi markets will count those goals/assists/shots while Predict and Polymarket will not. This is a critical settlement risk. Verify with each platform their exact extra time policy before trading, and consider the likelihood of extra time when positioning. Markets on the same player across platforms may resolve differently.

Critical divergence points:

  • Predict: Resolves on official box score statistics within first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. Primary source is official statistics from governing body/event organizers, with 24-hour fallback to credible reporting consensus.
  • Polymarket: Resolves on official box score statistics within first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs explicitly excluded. Primary source is official statistics, with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting consensus for shot/assist metrics.
  • Kalshi: Resolves on performance during entire game including regulation, stoppage, and any extra time periods. No explicit exclusion of extra time. Scope covers full match duration without time window restriction.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Brazil and Japan, scheduled for June 29 at 1:00 PM ET.

Kalshi

All markets evaluate player performance during the entire Brazil vs Japan professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for June 29, 2026, encompassing regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. Each market resolves to Yes if the specified player records at least one goal or one assist during this complete match duration. If a player is listed as active but never enters the game, the market settles to the last fair market price before game start. Once a player enters the game, settlement is determined solely by the goals and assists that player records.

Predict

Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Brazil and Japan, scheduled for June 29 at 1:00 PM ET.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price player props differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and lock in margin, while prediction markets like those tracked here reflect pure trader belief—participants stake real capital on outcomes they think are mispriced. This often results in sharper, more efficient pricing on prediction platforms, especially for niche props where traditional sportsbooks have limited liquidity. However, sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news or injury reports. Comparing this market's odds to your preferred sportsbook can reveal value opportunities or consensus shifts in real time.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, causing prices to diverge even on the same player prop. Polymarket may have deeper volume on a particular outcome, pushing its odds lower, while Kalshi reflects a smaller but more bullish subset of participants. Platform-specific rules, withdrawal policies, and user base composition also influence how quickly new information gets priced in. These gaps create arbitrage opportunities for sharp traders but typically narrow as the event date approaches and information becomes more widely known.