TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Brazil vs. Japan - More Markets
polymarket
predict

What is the result of Brazil vs. Japan?

Volume:
$24,106,181

O/U 2.5

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 29, 2026

Closed: Jun 29, 1:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,282,055
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 2.5

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$793,137
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Team to Advance

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,700,027
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Team to Advance

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$146,030
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams to Score

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,584,578
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Both Teams to Score

N/A
N/A
—
$25,820
$398,771
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,294,844
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 1.5

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$96,411
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 0.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,033,487
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 0.5

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$67,126
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Brazil O/U 1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$852,562
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 0.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$328,690
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Japan O/U 0.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$101,802
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Brazil O/U 0.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$84,490
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Brazil 2nd Half O/U 0.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$22,543
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$22,370
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2nd Half O/U 0.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$14,160
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2nd Half O/U 1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$12,462
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Brazil 2nd Half O/U 1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,728
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Brazil (-1.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,174,458
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Brazil (-1.5)

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$124,186
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 3.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$923,053
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 3.5

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$120,394
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Japan (-1.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$736,017
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Japan (-1.5)

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$49,109
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 64

Intro

This event group tracks 18 distinct prediction markets covering the FIFA World Cup match between Brazil and Japan on June 29, 2026. The leading outcome, Brazil at a -5.5 point spread, currently shows 2.0% consensus probability across Polymarket and Predict. All markets resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com, based on 90-minute regulation time only. Watch for the match kickoff on June 29 at 1:00 PM ET, which will determine settlement across all spread and goal total markets in this group.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict apply the same resolution framework: fifa.com official score, regulation time only, identical postponement and cancellation protocols, and consistent 2-hour publication window before consensus fallback.Primary resolution logic: Official final score published on fifa.com

Core resolution logic:

  • Spread markets (Brazil/Japan -1.5 to -5.5): Resolve to the favored team if they win by the specified margin or greater; otherwise resolve to the opposing team
  • Over/Under markets (0.5 to 8.5 total goals): Resolve to Over if combined goals meet or exceed the threshold plus one; resolve to Under if combined goals fall below the threshold plus one
  • Scope: Only goals scored in the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded
  • Postponement: Markets remain open until the match is completed; no early resolution
  • Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, all markets resolve 50-50
  • Source hierarchy: Official fifa.com statistics are primary; if not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used as fallback
  • Finality: Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution are not accounted for

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed and the official final score is published.
  • Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50 (neither outcome wins).
  • Incomplete Match: If the match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned), resolution follows the official final score as published by fifa.com for the portion played.
  • Source Delay: If fifa.com does not publish official statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting sources may be used instead.
  • Post-Resolution Score Revision: Any revisions to the officially declared final score made after market resolution are not accounted for; the market settles on the score as declared at resolution time.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time). Official fifa.com statistics are expected within 2 hours of match conclusion. Markets settle immediately upon official score publication or consensus determination, with no further adjustments for post-resolution corrections.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 29 at 1:00 PM ET.

Predict

More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 29 at 1:00 PM ET.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price the same event through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines based on their risk models and aim to balance action on both sides; prediction markets let traders freely set odds through supply and demand. Often, prediction markets react faster to new information—injuries, weather, lineup changes—because individual traders profit from being first to reprice. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal inefficiencies: if prediction traders are more bullish or bearish than the books, it may signal where informed money is flowing or where consensus has shifted.

Team news—injuries to key players, lineup announcements, or tactical shifts—often triggers sharp repricing in the days before kickoff. Weather conditions, travel delays, or late referee assignments can also shift sentiment. During the match itself, early goals, red cards, or momentum swings drive real-time price action as traders update their win probability estimates. Historical head-to-head records, recent form, and betting syndicates' positioning may create sudden volume spikes. Monitoring social media, official team channels, and live commentary helps traders stay ahead of market moves and identify when consensus is shifting.