TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 11:43 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the volleyball match between Brazil and Japan in the FIVB Nations League, originally scheduled for July 22 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Brazil" if Brazil wins the match. It will resolve to "Japan" if Japan wins the match. If a team withdraws, forfeits, is defaulted, or is disqualified after the match begins, this market will resolve in favor of the team officially credited with the win. If the match begins but is not completed and no winner is officially declared, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin for any reason — including cancellation, pre-match withdrawal, walkover, or forfeit before play begins — or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official FIVB results.
This market refers to the volleyball match between Brazil and Japan in the FIVB Nations League, originally scheduled for July 22 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Brazil" if Brazil wins the match. It will resolve to "Japan" if Japan wins the match. If a team withdraws, forfeits, is defaulted, or is disqualified after the match begins, this market will resolve in favor of the team officially credited with the win. If the match begins but is not completed and no winner is officially declared, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin for any reason — including cancellation, pre-match withdrawal, walkover, or forfeit before play begins — or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official FIVB results.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets are driven by traders risking real capital on outcomes they believe are mispriced. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper probability estimates because participants have direct financial exposure and no house edge to protect. Comparing this market's implied odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether traders see value the books may have missed or overlooked.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on order flow and the ratio of shares held in each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders purchase shares representing their preferred result, and the price of each share moves inversely to demand—buying pressure raises the price, while selling pressure lowers it. The implied probability for any outcome is derived from its current share price relative to the total. This mechanism ensures continuous liquidity and transparent, real-time pricing throughout the trading period.
This market resolves around Jul 29, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome will reflect the final score and official match result as confirmed by recognized football authorities and major sports reporting. Traders should monitor official announcements and reputable sports news outlets as the resolution date approaches to stay informed on any scheduling changes or other developments that could affect timing.
Key catalysts include team roster announcements, injury updates to star players, recent form and head-to-head records, and any tactical shifts revealed in pre-match press conferences. Weather conditions on match day, home-field advantage factors, and historical performance in similar tournaments can also influence trader positioning. Major upsets in related fixtures or unexpected lineup changes announced shortly before kickoff often trigger sharp repricing. Monitoring sports news, official team communications, and analyst commentary will help you anticipate moves in this market.