TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 19, 9:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Brazil and Haiti will combine for more than 3.5 goals during the first half of their FIFA World Cup match. On Kalshi, the probability that over 0.5 first-half goals will be scored stands at 99.0%, reflecting strong expectation of offensive output early in the game. Resolution will be determined by the official goal count from the first half of the Brazil vs Haiti match originally scheduled for June 19, 2026, with the betting period closing on June 20, 2026.
Resolution is based on the total goals scored by Brazil and Haiti combined during the first half (45 minutes plus stoppage time) of their FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled for June 19, 2026. Only goals scored during the first half count toward resolution. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect aggregated trader beliefs about first-half scoring, often incorporating real-time team news, injury reports, and tactical adjustments that traditional analyst forecasts may lag. While sports analysts typically publish pre-match models based on historical form and squad strength, prediction markets update continuously as new information emerges. The market price tends to embed broader consensus faster than individual expert predictions, though both sources can diverge if analysts hold contrarian views or markets overshoot on sentiment.
Brazil vs Haiti: First Half Total is priced on Kalshi as a binary or multi-outcome contract reflecting the probability of specific first-half goal thresholds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the contract settling to 100 cents if the outcome occurs or 0 if it does not. Kalshi's pricing mechanism allows continuous price discovery; as match conditions change—team lineups confirmed, weather updates, or early kick-off momentum—traders adjust positions, moving the price to reflect new consensus odds.
The Brazil vs Haiti: First Half Total market resolves on Jun 20, 2026, following the conclusion of the first half of the match. The outcome is determined by the official goal count recorded during the first 45 minutes of play, as reported by the match officials and confirmed by the relevant football governing body. Once the first half ends and the goal total is finalized, the contract settles based on whether the actual first-half goals meet, exceed, or fall short of the specified threshold.
Key catalysts for Brazil vs Haiti: First Half Total include confirmed team lineups and injury news, particularly the availability of Brazil's attacking players and Haiti's defensive personnel. Pre-match weather conditions—rain or extreme heat—can affect pace and scoring likelihood. Early match momentum, such as an early goal or red card, will shift trader expectations sharply. Additionally, tactical adjustments revealed at kick-off, set-piece opportunities, and goalkeeper performance in the opening minutes all influence whether traders expect a high or low-scoring first half, driving price movement on Kalshi.