TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Brazil and France will compete in an international friendly soccer match on March 26, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. This is a single-event group with three mutually exclusive outcomes: Brazil win, France win, or draw.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket resolve based on the official match outcome between Brazil and France on March 26, 2026, within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, using FIFA or official governing body statistics as the primary source.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from FIFA or the governing body/event organizers; if unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used.Core resolution logic:
- The match outcome is determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (extra time and penalties are excluded).
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: Brazil wins, France wins, or the match ends in a draw.
- Exactly one of the three Polymarket markets (Brazil win, France win, or draw) will resolve YES; the other two resolve NO.
- Kalshi markets all resolve YES if any of the three outcomes occur (Brazil win, France win, or draw), as they cover all possible match results.
- If the match is postponed, both platforms keep markets open until the match is completed.
- If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket draw market resolves YES and Brazil/France win markets resolve NO; Kalshi markets resolve based on the cancellation terms.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed beyond March 26, 2026, both platforms remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on its rescheduled date.
- Match Cancellation Without Makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES (per explicit rule), while Brazil and France win markets resolve NO. Kalshi's resolution in this scenario follows the same cancellation logic.
- Resolution Source Timing: Official FIFA or governing body statistics are the primary source. If not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus is used as the fallback source on both platforms.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official announcement of the final match result by FIFA or the governing body within 2 hours of match conclusion, or via credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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