TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 5:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Radu Albot and Zsombor Piros in the Brasov, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Radu Albot' if Radu Albot advances against Zsombor Piros. This market will resolve to 'Zsombor Piros' if Zsombor Piros advances against Radu Albot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Radu Albot and Zsombor Piros in the Brasov, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Radu Albot' if Radu Albot advances against Zsombor Piros. This market will resolve to 'Zsombor Piros' if Zsombor Piros advances against Radu Albot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders directly buying and selling outcome shares. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper, more efficient pricing because they aggregate dispersed information from many participants with real money at stake. However, sportsbooks may offer tighter spreads or faster liquidity in some cases. Comparing the two can reveal where market sentiment differs from professional oddsmakers' views.
On Polymarket, traders set the price of this market by buying and selling shares representing each possible outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective belief about that outcome's probability, ranging from near 0 to 100. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. The market's current odds are always visible on the order book, and anyone can trade at the displayed price or place limit orders to wait for their target price.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official match result, ensuring accuracy and fairness for all traders. Until that point, the market remains open for trading, and prices may shift as the event approaches or new developments emerge. Resolution typically occurs shortly after the match ends, allowing traders to settle their positions.
Several factors could shift prices in this market before it resolves. Player injuries, withdrawals, or fitness updates announced before the match could significantly impact odds. Recent form, head-to-head records, and tournament momentum may influence trader sentiment as the event draws closer. Court conditions, weather, or scheduling changes could also trigger repricing. News about either player's recent performance or any external circumstances affecting their preparation might prompt traders to reassess their positions, creating volatility in the market price.