TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 4:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Olle Wallin and Frederico Ferreira Silva in the Brasov, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Olle Wallin' if Olle Wallin advances against Frederico Ferreira Silva. This market will resolve to 'Frederico Ferreira Silva' if Frederico Ferreira Silva advances against Olle Wallin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Olle Wallin and Frederico Ferreira Silva in the Brasov, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Olle Wallin' if Olle Wallin advances against Frederico Ferreira Silva. This market will resolve to 'Frederico Ferreira Silva' if Frederico Ferreira Silva advances against Olle Wallin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, factoring in their margin. Prediction markets like this one aggregate trader beliefs directly, with prices reflecting collective expectations rather than a bookmaker's profit model. Sportsbooks may adjust lines based on sharp money and liability, while prediction markets move purely on supply and demand from participants. Comparing the two can reveal where professional bettors and casual traders disagree on the likely outcome of this boxing event.
On Polymarket, traders set the price of this market through an automated market maker mechanism, where buying or selling shares shifts the odds in real time. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the current balance between buyers and sellers wagering on whether the match completes as scheduled. As new information emerges or trader conviction changes, the cost to buy or sell shares adjusts accordingly. This continuous repricing ensures the market stays responsive to evolving expectations about the Brasov boxing event.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once the boxing event in Brasov has concluded and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on whether the match was completed as scheduled. Traders holding the winning side of the market will receive their payout once the event status is finalized and the platform settles all positions. Until that date, the market remains open for trading as new developments or fighter news may shift trader expectations.
Several factors could shift this market significantly before Jul 9, 2026. Fighter injuries, training camp updates, or official postponements announced by promoters would likely trigger sharp price moves. Changes in venue conditions, regulatory approvals, or fighter weight-cut complications could also sway trader sentiment. Media coverage highlighting either fighter's form or recent statements about readiness may influence positioning. Additionally, if comparable recent boxing events face unexpected delays or cancellations, traders might reassess the likelihood of this match completing on schedule, causing the odds to adjust accordingly.