TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 4:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ognjen Milic and Guido Justo in the Brasov, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ognjen Milic' if Ognjen Milic advances against Guido Justo. This market will resolve to 'Guido Justo' if Guido Justo advances against Ognjen Milic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ognjen Milic and Guido Justo in the Brasov, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ognjen Milic' if Ognjen Milic advances against Guido Justo. This market will resolve to 'Guido Justo' if Guido Justo advances against Ognjen Milic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader conviction—there is no house edge or bookmaker margin. This market's odds tend to be more reactive to new information and less constrained by risk management concerns, making them a useful barometer of informed opinion alongside traditional betting lines.
On Polymarket, traders set the price of this market through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on buy and sell volume. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome is represented as a tradeable share, and the current price reflects the aggregate belief of all active traders. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, the price updates continuously, allowing you to enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once the Brasov event concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official fight result, ensuring accuracy and fairness for all traders. Until that point, you can continue to trade based on your expectations and any developments that may influence the bout.
Several factors could shift trader sentiment before resolution. Official weigh-in results, fighter injury reports, or last-minute venue changes would likely trigger sharp price moves. Media coverage, expert analysis, and betting action from sportsbooks may also influence perception of each fighter's chances. Social media momentum, training footage, or statements from either camp could sway conviction among market participants, causing the odds to reprice as new information becomes available.