TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 7:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This event covers the goal margin between Bragantino and Coritiba in their July 26, 2026 match. Bettors predict whether one team will win by more than specified goal margins during the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Resolution is based on the goal differential in the Bragantino vs Coritiba Brasileiro Serie A match scheduled for July 26, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). Markets resolve based on whether Bragantino wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, or whether Coritiba wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Each outcome resolves independently to Yes if the specified team wins by the specified margin, or No otherwise.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets like this one aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. Prediction market prices tend to be more efficient at incorporating late-breaking information, since traders can adjust positions up until market close. For this match, comparing the implied probability here to major sportsbook spreads can reveal whether the market is pricing in information the books have not yet fully reflected.
This market resolves around Jul 27, 2026, once the match concludes and the final result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official goal differential recorded at full-time, which settles the spread-based prediction. No further adjustments occur after the match ends and the result is confirmed. Traders should monitor team news and lineup announcements in the days leading up to kickoff, as injuries or tactical changes can shift market pricing significantly.
Key catalysts include team injury announcements, especially to star forwards or defensive players, which can reshape scoring expectations and spread outcomes. Lineup confirmations and tactical shifts disclosed by either manager will influence how traders assess the likely margin. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage also drive repricing as the match date approaches. Weather conditions and any last-minute roster changes announced on match day can trigger sharp moves in the final hours before kickoff, so monitoring official team channels is essential for staying ahead of market moves.