TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 26, 4:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Bradford and Burnley, focusing specifically on the margin of victory during regulation time. It considers different thresholds for wins by either team, without accounting for extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates whether either Bradford or Burnley achieves a victory margin exceeding specified goal differences in the professional EFL Cup soccer game scheduled for August 26, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Four distinct outcome thresholds are considered: Bradford winning by more than 2.5 goals, Bradford winning by more than 1.5 goals, Burnley winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Burnley winning by more than 2.5 goals. If any of these conditions are met, the event resolves positively. It is important to note that the resolution excludes extra time and penalty phases, focusing solely on the regulation time result. Additionally, the platform explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often show sharper adjustments based on real-time trading activity and can diverge from sportsbook spreads due to different participant dynamics and information efficiency. While sportsbooks may incorporate broader public betting trends, Kalshi traders focus on probability assessments tied directly to the Bradford vs Burnley spread outcome. This difference can lead to variations in implied probabilities, especially as new data emerges before Aug 26, 2026. Traders should monitor both sources for context, but remember that this market’s pricing is driven by its own user base and market mechanics.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price of this market through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting the collective belief about the likely spread outcome. The platform's order book mechanism updates prices based on supply and demand, allowing for rapid adjustments as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Aug 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread result will be determined by official match statistics and confirmed sources, ensuring an accurate reflection of the regulation time performance of both teams.
Several signals could shift this market before it resolves on Aug 26, 2026. Key performances in recent matches, player injuries or lineup changes for either team, and tactical adjustments by coaches may all influence trader expectations. Media coverage highlighting form, momentum, or head-to-head statistics can also create momentum swings. As the match date approaches, early betting trends on traditional sportsbooks and analyst predictions may affect sentiment. Any last-minute roster updates or weather conditions impacting the game could produce rapid shifts in this market’s pricing, so staying informed about real-time developments is crucial for tracking probability changes.