TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates different margin-based outcomes for an upcoming soccer match between Bradford and Barnsley. Each market focuses on whether one team wins by a specific goal differential, providing various perspectives on the potential performance gap between the two teams.
The markets resolve based on the final score of the Bradford vs Barnsley professional EFL League One soccer match scheduled for September 26, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Bradford wins by more than 2.5 goals or more than 1.5 goals, or if Barnsley wins by more than 1.5 goals or more than 2.5 goals, as specified in each respective market. All markets explicitly state that Kalshi is not affiliated with or connected to the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and public betting patterns, aiming to balance their risk. This market, however, represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the spread. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, risk assessments, or simply varying opinions on the likely outcome of the Bradford vs Barnsley match. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the final spread of the Bradford vs Barnsley match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, and the current price reflects the aggregated expectation of all participants. Higher prices indicate a stronger belief that the spread will fall in a particular range, while lower prices suggest the opposite. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time assessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread of the Bradford vs Barnsley match, as determined by official sources, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the market price at the time of their trade. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, ensuring a fair outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 26, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Bradford or Barnsley would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather forecasts impacting playing conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected news regarding team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact on the match outcome is key to understanding potential price fluctuations in this market.