This event group covers a professional Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer match between Boyacá Chicó FC and Jaguares de Córdoba FC scheduled for February 12, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess the final outcome (win/loss/draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Polymarket's draw market includes an explicit cancellation clause (resolves YES if game is canceled with no make-up), while Kalshi provides no cancellation guidance and Polymarket's win markets resolve NO in the same scenario. This creates an asymmetric payout structure.
Hero Tip:
Traders holding draw positions on Polymarket have hidden cancellation optionality. Conversely, traders short the draw face tail risk. On Kalshi, the absence of cancellation language suggests the platform will either (a) void the market or (b) apply a default rule not yet disclosed. Request explicit cancellation protocol from Kalshi before Feb 12, 2026.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets. Boyacá Chicó win resolves YES if Boyacá Chicó wins, NO otherwise (including cancellation). Jaguares win resolves YES if Jaguares wins, NO otherwise (including cancellation). Draw market resolves YES if game ends in a draw OR if game is canceled entirely with no make-up game; resolves NO if game is played and does not end in a draw. Postponement keeps all markets open. Source: https://dimayor.com.co/. Time window: 90 minutes regular play plus stoppage time only.
Kalshi:
Single market with three resolution paths: all resolve YES (Jaguares win YES, Boyacá Chicó win YES, or Tie YES). No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Time window: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.