TOTAL VOLUME:

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$107,351,958

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400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

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2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Boxing: Tommy Fury vs. Eddie Hall
kalshi
polymarket

Boxing: Tommy Fury vs. Eddie Hall

Volume:
$401,528

Tommy Fury

 - Kalshi

Tommy Fury - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 14, 2026

Closed: Jun 13, 9:34 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tommy Fury

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$78,546
N/A
N/A
$57,593
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Boxing: Tommy Fury vs. Eddie Hall

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.7¢
N/A
$24,295
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Eddie Hall

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$298,687
N/A
N/A
$257,046
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the professional boxing match between Tommy Fury and Eddie Hall scheduled for June 13, 2026, at the AO Arena in Manchester, England, under Misfits Boxing promotion. Markets resolve based on the official winner declaration, with specific handling for draws, cancellations, and postponements.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market lacks explicit resolution rules for draws, technical draws, no contests, cancellations, and postponements, while Polymarket provides comprehensive coverage. Both platforms agree on winner-determination logic but diverge on edge-case handling.Hero tip: Polymarket traders have contractual certainty on all outcomes including draws and cancellations (50-50 split). Kalshi traders face ambiguity; the platform's silence on non-win scenarios may result in unexpected resolution or dispute. Monitor Kalshi's official clarification before the event date.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Comprehensive resolution framework: resolves to Fury or Hall on official winner declaration via Misfits Boxing. Draws (split, majority, unanimous) resolve per official Misfits Boxing rules. If no official winner, technical draw, no contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 27, 2026, resolves 50-50. Primary source: Misfits Boxing with credible reporting consensus fallback.
  • Kalshi: Binary structure: resolves Yes if Tommy Fury wins OR if Eddie Hall wins. No explicit rules provided for draws, technical draws, no contests, cancellations, postponements, or other non-win outcomes. Resolution logic is incomplete and creates settlement ambiguity.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Fury" if Tommy Fury is officially declared the winner of the match against Eddie Hall at AO Arena in Manchester, England, scheduled for June 13, 2026. It will resolve to "Hall" if Eddie Hall is officially declared the winner. If the bout results in any form of draw (including split draw, majority draw, or unanimous draw), this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by the rules of Misfits Boxing. If no official winner is designated under Misfits Boxing rules, or if the fight is declared a technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 27, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Misfits Boxing; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

This event consists of two separate markets, each resolving based on the outcome of the Tommy Fury vs Eddie Hall boxing match originally scheduled for June 13, 2026. The Tommy Fury market resolves to Yes if Tommy Fury wins the match, while the Eddie Hall market resolves to Yes if Eddie Hall wins. If the match is postponed or delayed, both markets remain open and will close after the rescheduled match concludes, provided the rescheduling occurs within two weeks of the original date.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like those tracked here operate on crowd-sourced pricing rather than bookmaker margins. Traders stake real capital on outcomes, creating incentives for accuracy that often differ from traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks build in juice and adjust lines for liability, prediction markets reflect aggregated trader conviction with minimal intermediary markup. This market's odds may lead or lag sportsbook lines depending on information flow and trader sophistication. Direct comparison reveals whether mainstream betting markets and decentralized traders are aligned or diverging on this matchup.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform operates under distinct regulatory frameworks, liquidity pools, and user bases, which can produce pricing gaps even on identical events. Polymarket and Kalshi may attract traders with different risk tolerances, information sets, or time horizons. Arbitrage opportunities and platform-specific fees can also widen spreads. Monitoring both venues helps you identify mispricings and understand where informed traders are concentrating their capital on this boxing event.

Key catalysts include fighter training updates, injury announcements, and weigh-in results closer to the event date. Media coverage, expert commentary, and social sentiment can shift trader positioning rapidly. Odds on related markets—such as method of victory or round betting—may also influence this broader matchup pricing. Major news about either fighter's camp, contract disputes, or venue changes could trigger sharp repricing. Monitor sports news outlets and platform activity for sudden volume spikes that often precede significant probability shifts.