TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 10:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the margin of victory for Nebraska in their college football game against Bowling Green. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold, allowing participants to speculate on how convincingly Nebraska might win.
The markets resolve based on the point differential by which Nebraska wins the college football game against Bowling Green, originally scheduled for September 12, 2026. For each market, if Nebraska's victory exceeds the specified point threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular spread is likely, the price will move in that direction, potentially offering value compared to initial sportsbook lines. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective prediction of participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are essentially betting on the probability of the actual spread falling within a specific range. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus, providing a real-time assessment of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Bowling Green vs Nebraska football game. The market will settle to 100 if the actual spread falls within the range represented by the purchased contracts, and to 0 otherwise. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding key player injuries for either Bowling Green or Nebraska would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the game, could also shift the market. Publicly released analysis from sports analysts, or even significant betting action at sportsbooks, could also influence trader behavior and move the price. Any unexpected developments leading up to the game on Sep 13, 2026 have the potential to impact the market.