TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 9:28 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both teams combined during the third quarter of a specific college football game. Each market has a different threshold for the point total, allowing participants to bet on various levels of scoring intensity in that quarter alone.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the third quarter of the specified college football game. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from over 2.5 points to over 27.5 points. If the cumulative points exceed the stated threshold for a given market, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Postponements are permitted if the game starts within 48 hours of the original time, with resolution based on the official result. If the game does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward these outcomes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which are often set by experts. Sportsbooks establish odds based on statistical analysis and expert opinion, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. Therefore, discrepancies can emerge as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate impactful news or changing perceptions about team performance, potentially offering a different outlook than traditional sportsbooks. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 3rd quarter total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective prediction. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for exposure to a specific outcome, and it’s constantly updated based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently incorporate new information and adjust expectations in real-time.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the 3rd quarter of the Bowling Green vs Nebraska game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and the corresponding payouts on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game and verification of the official statistics. This ensures a clear and definitive resolution process.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Bowling Green or Nebraska would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale might also move the market. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public perception, driven by media coverage or expert analysis, could influence trading activity and adjust the price of contracts. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential market movements.