TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 8:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will score more points in a specific quarter of a college football game between Bowling Green and Nebraska. It focuses solely on performance during the second quarter, ignoring the overall game result. The outcome depends entirely on the points scored in that designated period.
The market resolves based on which team scores more points in the second quarter of the designated college football game. Three possible outcomes exist: Nebraska winning the quarter, Bowling Green winning the quarter, or a tie in scoring. All outcomes consider only points scored during the second quarter itself. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, the market remains active and resolves based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to attract balanced betting and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likely outcome. However, discrepancies can occur due to differing information access or biases. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts closer to game time. Examining the difference can reveal insights into public perception and potential value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the second quarter winner. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place orders, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to new information. The current price indicates the implied probability of each team winning the second quarter.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will settle based on which team is leading after the second quarter of the Bowling Green vs Nebraska game. Official game results from a recognized sports authority will be used to determine the winner. The platform will verify the results against these sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market settlement. Traders will then receive payouts based on their positions.
Several factors could influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Bowling Green or Nebraska would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they affect the playing conditions, could also impact the odds. Additionally, pre-game analysis from sports analysts and updated team statistics could sway trader sentiment. Finally, even the flow of money into this market – large buy or sell orders – can create momentum and shift the perceived probability of either team winning the second quarter.