TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 8:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points are scored in a specific quarter of a college football game between Bowling Green and Nebraska. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered a success.
The markets resolve based on whether the combined points scored by both teams in the second quarter of the specified college football game exceed various thresholds. Only points scored during the second quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the markets resolve to a fair price. All markets are independent, each with its own point threshold, and all share the same timing and fairness conditions.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and biases. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own modeling and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likely outcome. It’s common to see differences emerge, particularly as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Examining these discrepancies can offer insights into where the market perceives an edge or disagreement with conventional wisdom.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the 2nd quarter total. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that total being higher or lower than the current market price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of the market. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their contracts are correctly valued at the time of resolution. The current price reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 2nd quarter between Bowling Green and Nebraska is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored by both teams during the 2nd quarter will be used to determine whether contracts predicting over or under the final market price will pay out. Traders will receive $1.00 for each contract held if their prediction is correct, minus any fees associated with trading on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Bowling Green or Nebraska would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s offensive style, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, in-game performance during the 1st quarter, or even pre-game reports on team strategies, could lead traders to adjust their predictions and shift the market price. Public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role.