TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 1:56 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance gap between Bowling Green and Iowa State specifically during the second quarter of their upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that determines whether Iowa State or Bowling Green dominates that quarter.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second quarter of play in the Bowling Green vs Iowa State college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. If Iowa State achieves a second-quarter win by exceeding the specified point margin—from 2.5 to 23.5 points—the corresponding 'Yes' outcome triggers. Conversely, if Bowling Green wins the second quarter by more than the designated margin (2.5 to 10.5 points), that market resolves to 'Yes'. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. If the game fails to start within this window, all markets settle at a fair price, reflecting the uncertainty of unplayed conditions. Only second-quarter scoring impacts resolution; other quarters are irrelevant.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed forecasting, though it's important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the second quarter of the Bowling Green vs Iowa State game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Specifically, the market will settle based on the actual point difference between the two teams at the end of the second quarter, as reported by official game statistics. The winning contracts will correspond to the spread closest to the actual result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Bowling Green or Iowa State teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they could affect the style of play, could also move the market. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public perception or betting trends, as reflected in sportsbook odds, could influence trader behavior on Kalshi and cause the price to fluctuate. Game day developments, like early scoring drives, will also likely cause rapid price changes.