TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Ball State Cardinals (W)
Volume:
$57,703
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a women's college basketball game between Bowling Green Falcons and Ball State Cardinals scheduled for March 11, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets across platforms are betting on which team will win the matchup.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally different resolution structures for the same underlying event. Kalshi treats any decisive outcome as Yes, while Polymarket requires selection of the specific winning team.Hero Tip:
Do not assume these markets are equivalent. On Kalshi, you are betting that the game completes with a winner (not on who wins). On Polymarket, you are directly picking the winning team. The edge cases (postponement, cancellation) are also handled differently between platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary Yes/No structure. Both Ball State win and Bowling Green win resolve to Yes. No explicit handling of postponement or cancellation mentioned in provided rules.
- Polymarket: Categorical structure resolving to team name. Bowling Green win = 'Bowling Green Falcons', Ball State win = 'Ball State Cardinals'. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.