TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Ball State Cardinals (W)
Volume:
$386,827
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball matchup between Bowling Green Falcons and Ball State Cardinals scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Bowling Green win and Ball State win) resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket uses proper categorical resolution with explicit edge case handling.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is broken and should not be traded until corrected by the platform. The Yes/No structure cannot accommodate a two-team outcome. Polymarket provides the only resolvable logic: categorical resolution to team name or 50-50 on cancellation.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary Yes/No structure with logical contradiction. Both Bowling Green win and Ball State win are stated to resolve to Yes, leaving no path for a No resolution. Key quote: If Bowling Green wins resolve to Yes; If Ball St. wins resolve to Yes.
- Polymarket: Categorical resolution to team name (Bowling Green Falcons or Ball State Cardinals). Includes postponement protocol (market remains open) and cancellation protocol (50-50 split). Key quote: Resolves to team name or 50-50 if canceled with no make-up.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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