TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 24, 11:57 AM EST
Kalshi
This market covers various goal-margin outcomes in a Bournemouth vs St. Pauli friendly soccer match scheduled for July 24, 2026. Bettors can wager on whether either team wins by a significant margin, with resolution based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Resolution is determined by the final score of the Bournemouth vs St. Pauli professional Club Friendlies soccer game originally scheduled for July 24, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). Each market outcome corresponds to a specific goal-margin threshold: Bournemouth winning by more than 2.5 goals, Bournemouth winning by more than 1.5 goals, St. Pauli winning by more than 1.5 goals, or St. Pauli winning by more than 2.5 goals. The goal differential is calculated as the absolute difference between the two teams' final scores, and the market resolves to Yes if the actual result matches the specified outcome threshold.
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced assessment of team performance and match dynamics. While analysts may weigh long-term form and historical data, traders on Kalshi react quickly to new information like player injuries or recent results. This can lead to tighter spreads or sharper movements ahead of key events.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks for contract outcomes. The current top trade probability reflects aggregated user expectations for the match result range. Volume of $87,117 and recent 24-hour volume of $82,619 indicate liquidity levels, while price fluctuations respond to breaking news and shifting betting trends.
This market resolves around Jul 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread result will be determined by official match statistics and confirmed through standard public sources, closing the market once the game concludes.
Injuries to key players, weather updates affecting match conditions, and tactical changes by coaches can all shift this market. High-profile performances or disciplinary actions in preceding matches may also influence trader sentiment. As Jul 24, 2026 nears, any last-minute roster announcements or venue-specific news will likely cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi.