TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 5:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total number of goals scored during the regulation time of a soccer match between Bournemouth and Lincoln. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals, allowing participants to speculate on whether the match will be high-scoring or low-scoring based on their expectations.
The markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored during the regulation time of the Bournemouth vs Lincoln professional EFL Cup soccer game scheduled for September 8, 2026. Regulation time includes the standard 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee, but explicitly excludes any extra time periods or penalty shootouts. For each market, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if the total goals exceed the specified threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a relatively small number of professional oddsmakers, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there's significant uncertainty or public debate surrounding the likely outcome of the match. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights, but remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts corresponding to different potential outcomes – in this case, the total goals scored in regulation time. The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the likelihood of various goal totals.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal tally in regulation time between Bournemouth and Lincoln is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official match result as reported by recognized sports data providers. The market will determine which contract corresponds to the actual total goals scored, and those holding winning contracts will be paid out accordingly. It’s important to note that only goals scored during regulation time are considered for this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Bournemouth or Lincoln would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the expected goal total. Furthermore, any pre-match analysis or expert opinions predicting a high-scoring or low-scoring game could sway market sentiment. Unexpected team formations or tactical changes announced shortly before kickoff could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.