TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 6:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will dominate the first half of an upcoming soccer match by winning by a margin of more than 1.5 goals. It specifically tracks performance during the initial 45 minutes of play, ignoring the final outcome of the full game. The event is tied to a professional league match taking place on a set date.
The market resolves based on whether either Botafogo or Gremio wins the first half of their scheduled professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match by more than 1.5 goals. If Botafogo achieves this margin, the market resolves to Yes under the first rule; if Gremio does so, it also resolves to Yes under the second rule. Only goals scored during the first half count toward the outcome. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks beyond the original date, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring adherence to event integrity even when scheduling disruptions occur.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score after the first half will determine whether the spread falls above or below the set line, closing the market based on that official result.
Key signals include injury reports, coaching strategies, and weather forecasts released before Jul 30, 2026. Strong pre-match performances or tactical adjustments by either team can shift trader sentiment. Mid-week friendly matches involving Botafogo or Gremio may also influence expectations. Any last-minute lineup changes or referee announcements could cause rapid price swings. Traders will monitor these developments closely as they refine their outlooks on the likely first-half spread outcome.