TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 12:46 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Botafogo and Goias in the Brasileiro Serie B league. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. The market will reflect whether Botafogo wins, Goias wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the outcome of the Botafogo vs Goias professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer match scheduled for September 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Botafogo wins the match within this timeframe, the 'Botafogo' market resolves to Yes. If Goias wins under the same conditions, the 'Goias' market resolves to Yes. Should the match conclude in a tie after the specified duration, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the governing rules. The event exclusively considers the result from regular time plus stoppage time, with no account for outcomes determined during extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin, while this market represents what traders believe is the true probability of an outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can reveal insights into public perception versus expert opinion regarding the Botafogo vs Goias match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Botafogo vs Goias match. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective predictions of the traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to converge towards the true probability of each outcome as the event approaches, driven by informed speculation and available information.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Botafogo vs Goias match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Any potential postponements or cancellations will be factored into the resolution process, ensuring a fair and accurate determination of the winning outcome for this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the latest updates on the match schedule.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or tactical adjustments announced by either Botafogo or Goias could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue, or even significant shifts in public opinion based on pre-match analysis, could also drive price fluctuations. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches, or even broader trends in the league, might impact trading activity and shift the probabilities reflected in this market.