TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Botafogo FR vs. CS Cienciano
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Botafogo FR vs CS Cienciano?

Volume:
$784,770

Botafogo FR

 - Polymarket

Botafogo FR - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Closed: Aug 21, 12:33 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Botafogo FR

View
100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$115,106
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Reg Time: Botafogo

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$87,355
N/A
N/A
$40,489
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Reg Time: Cienciano

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$324,993
N/A
N/A
$265,344
Settled
No
kalshi

Reg Time: Tie

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$135,900
N/A
N/A
$78,419
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Botafogo FR vs. CS Cienciano)

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,170
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

CS Cienciano

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$106,246
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether Botafogo FR will win their match against CS Cienciano in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana tournament. The aggregated consensus probability for Botafogo FR winning stands at 100.0%, combining data from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution governed by CONMEBOL Sudamericana rules. The final outcome will be confirmed by August 21, 2026, following the match scheduled for August 20, providing a definitive answer based on the game's result.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi uses a single market that resolves to Yes for any outcome (win/draw/loss), while Polymarket uses three separate binary markets each covering one specific outcomeHero tip: Do not attempt arbitrage between Polymarket and Kalshi markets. Kalshi's market will resolve to Yes in all scenarios except complete cancellation with no makeup game, while Polymarket markets have mutually exclusive outcomes

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Botafogo win (Yes/No), Draw (Yes/No), Cienciano win (Yes/No). Each market resolves based on its specific outcome condition
  • Kalshi: Single market that resolves to Yes if Botafogo wins OR Cienciano wins OR the match ends in a draw (any outcome except complete cancellation)
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game, scheduled for Thursday, August 20, 2026 between Botafogo FR and CS Cienciano.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Botafogo vs Cienciano professional CONMEBOL Sudamericana soccer match originally scheduled for August 20, 2026, after exactly 90 minutes of regulation time plus any stoppage time added by the referee, but not including extra time or penalty kicks. If Botafogo wins within this timeframe, the 'Botafogo' market resolves to Yes. If Cienciano wins within the same timeframe, the 'Cienciano' market resolves to Yes. If the match concludes in a tie after regulation time plus stoppage time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to a date more than 48 hours beyond the original schedule, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules. The markets exclusively consider regulation time outcomes and do not account for results determined during extra time or penalty shootouts.