TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 24, 12:59 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Botafogo FC and EC Juventude, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Botafogo FC" if Botafogo FC score more goals than EC Juventude in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Botafogo FC and EC Juventude score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "EC Juventude" if EC Juventude score more goals than Botafogo FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Botafogo FC and EC Juventude, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Botafogo FC" if Botafogo FC score more goals than EC Juventude in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Botafogo FC and EC Juventude score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "EC Juventude" if EC Juventude score more goals than Botafogo FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different market structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. Traders on this market may price outcomes differently than traditional bookmakers, especially as new information emerges. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs, though prediction markets tend to adjust faster to breaking news and live developments during the match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader activity into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing each possible second-half outcome, and the price of each share reflects the collective forecast. As more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and the implied probability adjusts accordingly. This continuous mechanism ensures the market price stays responsive to new information and trader conviction throughout the event window.
This market resolves around Jul 24, 2026, once the second half of the Botafogo vs. Juventude match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the official final score recorded for the second half alone, not the full match. Traders who correctly predicted the second-half result will receive their payout based on the market's final price at settlement. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the match ending, pending confirmation from official sources.
Several factors can shift prices in this market before it resolves. Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical adjustments announced before kickoff—often triggers sharp moves. First-half performance is a major catalyst; if one side dominates early, traders may reassess second-half momentum and adjust their positions accordingly. Red cards, momentum swings, or unexpected goals during the match can also drive rapid repricing. Weather conditions, crowd factors, and real-time injury updates throughout the fixture will influence how traders evaluate the remaining half.