TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 30, 7:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Botafogo FC and CR Brasil, scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Botafogo FC" if Botafogo FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CR Brasil" if CR Brasil are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Botafogo FC and CR Brasil, scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Botafogo FC" if Botafogo FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CR Brasil" if CR Brasil are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they operate under different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders seeking profit through information advantages. Sportsbooks may adjust lines based on betting volume and risk management, whereas this market reflects the collective belief of participants trading in real time. Neither is inherently more accurate, but prediction markets can sometimes capture edge cases or niche insights that traditional oddsmakers miss or adjust slowly.
On Polymarket, traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, with the price of each share reflecting its implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price adjusts continuously as new trades occur, with each transaction moving the odds based on supply and demand. Participants who believe the current price underestimates a team's chance of scoring first can buy shares at a discount; those who think it's overpriced can sell. This mechanism ensures the market price converges toward the true probability as traders with better information compete.
This market resolves around Jun 30, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is confirmed against credible public reporting of the match result. Whichever team scores the opening goal determines the winning outcome; if no goal is scored during regulation and extra time, the market rules specify how it settles. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, allowing traders to see the confirmed result before payouts are finalized.
Team news such as injuries to key strikers or defensive players can significantly shift odds, as can lineup announcements closer to kickoff. Recent form, head-to-head records, and tactical adjustments by either coach may prompt traders to reassess probabilities. Weather conditions or pitch quality reported before the match could influence scoring likelihood. Late-breaking information about player availability or unexpected team changes often triggers sharp moves. As the match approaches, reduced uncertainty typically narrows the odds, while any surprise developments can create volatility in this market.