TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 6, 6:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Botafogo FC and Avaí FC, scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Botafogo FC" if Botafogo FC score more goals than Avaí FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Botafogo FC and Avaí FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Avaí FC" if Avaí FC score more goals than Botafogo FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Botafogo FC and Avaí FC, scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Botafogo FC" if Botafogo FC score more goals than Avaí FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Botafogo FC and Avaí FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Avaí FC" if Avaí FC score more goals than Botafogo FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets are driven purely by trader supply and demand. This market aggregates the views of many independent participants without a house edge, potentially offering sharper pricing on second-half outcomes. However, sportsbooks may incorporate additional proprietary data or real-time adjustments during live play, so comparing both sources can reveal where consensus and specialized insights align or differ.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker pool. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective belief of all active traders; as more capital flows into one result, its probability rises and others fall. You can enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes, and your entry price depends on the current pool state and order size. This continuous pricing mechanism ensures that the odds remain responsive to new information and shifting expectations about the second half.
This market resolves around Jul 6, 2026, once the match concludes and the second-half result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by what actually occurs during the second half of play—whether Botafogo wins, Avaí wins, or the teams draw. Your position will settle based on which outcome occurred, with winning shares redeemed at full value. Traders should monitor official match reports and league announcements to confirm the final result.
Several factors may shift odds before the match begins and during the first half. Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical announcements—can reshape expectations for second-half performance. Early-match momentum, substitutions, and the score at halftime are powerful catalysts; a team trailing by multiple goals faces different second-half dynamics than one ahead or level. Weather conditions, referee decisions, and real-time injury updates during play will also influence trader positioning. As the match unfolds, live data flows into the market, causing rapid repricing of second-half probabilities.