TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Botafogo FC vs. América FC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Botafogo FC vs. América FC?

Volume:
$290,899

Botafogo

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 9, 2026

Closed: Aug 8, 8:02 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Botafogo

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$134,809
N/A
N/A
$75,807
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Botafogo FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$24,125
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

America FC

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$62,843
N/A
N/A
$38,976
Settled
No
polymarket

América FC

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,777
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$45,124
N/A
N/A
$29,311
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Botafogo FC vs. América FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,221
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of the Botafogo FC vs. América FC match scheduled for August 8, 2026, focusing on win conditions for each team and the possibility of a draw within regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi includes all three possible match outcomes (Botafogo win, América win, Draw) in a single market resolving to Yes, while Polymarket separates these into three distinct binary markets.Hero tip: Avoid arbitrage strategies between these platforms as Kalshi’s market pays out for any outcome other than a cancellation without a make-up game, while Polymarket requires specific outcomes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Botafogo win (Yes/No), América win (Yes/No), and Draw (Yes/No). Each market resolves based on the specific outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellations without a make-up game resolve as No for win markets and Yes for Draw market.
  • Kalshi: Single market resolving to Yes if Botafogo wins, América wins, OR the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Does not include extra time or penalties. Resolves to No only if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Brazil Serie B game, scheduled for Saturday, August 8, 2026 between Botafogo FC and América FC.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the Botafogo vs America FC professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer match scheduled for August 8, 2026, based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Botafogo win, America FC win, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the event rules. The resolution strictly adheres to the official match result as recognized by the league, without regard to any post-regulation proceedings such as extra time or penalty shootouts.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Botafogo vs. América match outcome market aggregates activity across multiple venues, showing how traders on Polymarket and Kalshi price the likelihood of different results. It displays current probabilities, total volume of $290,899, and recent 24-hour volume of $287,003, letting users see where consensus lies and how sentiment shifts over time.

Prediction market odds on this market often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines due to different participant dynamics and information sources. While sportsbooks may set lines based on broader public betting trends and adjusted margins, prediction markets let traders react instantly to new data, sometimes producing prices that reflect sharper or more nuanced views of team performance, injuries, or tactical changes.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through trader activity that may emphasize certain signals like recent form or crowd sentiment, while Kalshi could weight different inputs such as historical matchups or global fan participation. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. This divergence often stems from varying user bases, liquidity conditions, and how each platform's community interprets new information, leading to temporary misalignments in implied probabilities.

Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or weather conditions that affect play could all shift this market. Additionally, strong performances in preceding matches, media narratives around team momentum, and even shifts in betting volume on either Polymarket or Kalshi can create momentum swings that change implied probabilities as the event approaches.