TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 1:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Boston and Wealdstone in the English National League. The result will be determined by the final score after the regulation 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Markets will reflect whether Boston wins, Wealdstone wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Boston vs Wealdstone professional English National League soccer match originally scheduled for September 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for the Boston market occurs if Boston secures a victory within regulation time; similarly, a 'Yes' for Wealdstone applies if they win in regulation. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if both teams finish level after regulation. If the match is cancelled or postponed by more than 48 hours, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event exclusively considers the result after normal time, with no account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from participants. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of information flow. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks, potentially offering more accurate probabilities as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and order flow provide insights into the level of conviction behind each possible result. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Boston vs Wealdstone match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market settlement. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from sports commentators, could also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants can quickly shift the odds, reflecting new information or a change in market perception. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities.