TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 10:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the margin of victory in an upcoming NHL game between Boston and Washington. It focuses on whether either team secures a win by a specific number of goals, reflecting the potential dominance of one team over the other in the contest.
The markets resolve based on the goal differential in the Boston vs Washington NHL game scheduled for September 25, 2026. Four separate outcomes are evaluated: Washington winning by more than 2.5 goals, Washington winning by more than 1.5 goals, Boston winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Boston winning by more than 2.5 goals. If any of these conditions are met, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Postponements that occur within 48 hours of the original start time do not affect the market’s resolution, which will still be based on the final official result. However, if the game is cancelled or fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a more accurate forecast of events than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of the crowd. While sportsbooks set lines to attract action and build in a profit margin, this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each team winning. However, it’s important to note that sportsbook odds are readily available and widely publicized, while the information from this market requires seeking out platforms like Kalshi. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information and analytical approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the probability of a specific outcome. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a 0% to 100% chance of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will resolve based on which team wins the NBA Championship series as officially declared by the NBA. The resolution will reflect the final result of the series, and the contracts will pay out accordingly to those who correctly predicted the winning team. Traders should monitor reputable sports news sources for the official announcement to understand when the market is finalized.
Several factors could significantly influence this market between now and resolution. Major player injuries to key players on any team would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected trades that alter a team’s roster composition could also have a substantial impact. Game outcomes during the regular season and playoffs will provide ongoing signals, especially upsets or dominant performances. Public perception and media coverage, as well as any news regarding team dynamics or coaching changes, could also contribute to movement in this market.