TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 20, 12:40 AM EST
Kalshi
This event measures strikeout performance by starting pitchers Bryce Miller of Seattle and Ranger Suárez of Boston during their June 19, 2026 matchup. Strikeouts occur when a pitcher records three strikes against a batter, and are a key metric of pitching effectiveness.
Settlement is based on strikeouts recorded by each starting pitcher during the game. For both Bryce Miller and Ranger Suárez, resolution occurs only if the pitcher starts the game and records at least one pitch; relief appearances do not count. If a pitcher is scratched or is not a starting pitcher, or if they are a starting pitcher but do not record any pitches, the market resolves to fair market price. Once a pitcher starts and throws at least one pitch, the market settles based on the actual strikeouts recorded, regardless of the specific threshold being tested.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders who have direct financial exposure to accuracy. For this market, comparing the odds can reveal whether professional bettors and casual traders disagree on strikeout expectations. Prediction markets sometimes offer sharper pricing because traders face real consequences for poor forecasts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for strikeout outcome shares. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the marginal trade—the last executed transaction—and moves as new orders flow in. Traders holding bullish or bearish views on strikeouts compete to set the equilibrium price. Kalshi's transparent order book allows participants to see depth and adjust their positions in real time as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Jun 20, 2026, once the Boston vs Seattle game concludes and the final strikeout count is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official box score and confirmed through established sports data providers. Traders should monitor game developments and any official scoring updates leading up to resolution. Once the event is finalized and reported, this market will settle based on the verified total.
Several factors could shift odds in this market before resolution. Roster changes, injuries to key pitchers, or bullpen adjustments announced before game time may alter strikeout expectations. Weather conditions at the stadium can influence pitch movement and strikeout rates. Recent performance trends—such as one team's pitchers striking out batters at elevated rates—often trigger trading activity. Breaking news about player availability or lineup changes typically prompts sharp traders to adjust positions, moving prices as new information becomes public.