TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 20, 11:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market covers the run differential between Boston and Seattle during the first five innings of their June 20, 2026 baseball game. Bettors can wager on whether one team leads by a specific margin at the end of the fifth inning.
Resolution is determined by the run differential between the teams at the end of the fifth inning in the Boston vs Seattle professional baseball game scheduled for Jun 20, 2026 at 10:10 PM EDT. Outcomes include Seattle winning by more than 2.5 or 1.5 runs, or Boston winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 runs. The market resolves to Yes for whichever outcome matches the actual five-inning score differential. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and resolves after the rescheduled game concludes within two days.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant pools and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets like this one price outcomes based on trader belief and real money at stake. This market may offer sharper or earlier signals on first-5 innings performance than traditional sportsbooks, since traders can update positions continuously without the friction of closing times or line management constraints.
This market resolves around Jun 21, 2026, once the first 5 innings of the Boston-Seattle game are complete and the final score is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by whether Seattle's run total exceeds Boston's by more than 1.5 runs during that inning window. Traders holding positions will see their holdings settled based on the confirmed result, with winning shares paid out at full value.
Key catalysts include starting pitcher announcements, recent team performance trends, and weather conditions at game time, all of which influence early-inning scoring patterns. Injury updates or lineup changes announced before first pitch can shift expectations for offensive output. Once the game begins, actual runs scored in the first few innings will drive sharp repricing as traders react to live action. Pre-game betting splits and sportsbook line movement may also signal sharp money flowing into this market.