TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 12:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the margin of victory in an upcoming NHL game between Boston and Philadelphia. It focuses on whether either team secures a win by a specific number of goals, reflecting the potential dominance in the match. Outcomes are determined by the final score once the game concludes.
The event consists of four markets, each tied to the Boston vs Philadelphia NHL game scheduled for September 24, 2026, and each resolving based on the margin of victory. Markets 1 and 2 address Philadelphia’s potential win, requiring victories by more than 2.5 or more than 1.5 goals respectively, while Markets 3 and 4 address Boston’s potential win, requiring victories by more than 1.5 or more than 2.5 goals respectively. All markets share consistent secondary rules: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result still applies; if the game is cancelled or does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price. The resolution hinges entirely on the official final score of the game, with no partial or alternative outcomes considered.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice-versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence the bid-ask spread, impacting the cost of entering or exiting a position. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Boston vs Philadelphia spread, as determined by official league results. The market will settle to 100 for the winning outcome and 0 for the losing outcome. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing side will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Player injuries to key players on either team would likely cause substantial shifts in probabilities. Unexpected changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even off-court controversies could also influence trading activity. Major news regarding team strategies or player matchups leading up to the game will be closely watched by traders. Any significant shift in public sentiment, reflected in polls or expert analysis, could also contribute to price movements in this market.