TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Boston vs New York Y
opinion
kalshi

Who will win Boston vs New York Y?

Volume:
$3,917,635

New York Y

 - Kalshi

New York Y - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 30, 2026

Closed: Aug 30, 4:29 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

New York Y

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$1,628,824
N/A
N/A
$847,474
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Boston

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$2,288,811
N/A
N/A
$1,682,605
Settled
No
opinion

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks which team will win the upcoming Major League Baseball game between the Boston Red Sox and the New York Yankees. The aggregated consensus probability shows New York Yankees wins at 99.0%, with Boston wins at 1.0%, drawing data from Opinion and Kalshi, and resolution based on the game outcome. The critical catalyst to watch will be the game itself, scheduled for August 29, 2026, which will determine the market's final result.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market structure mismatch: Opinion uses a named outcome (team name) while Kalshi uses a binary Yes/No regardless of winnerHero tip: Treat these as separate bets — the Opinion market resolves only when a specific team wins, while the Kalshi market resolves Yes whenever either team wins. Tie or cancellation rules are consistent between platforms.

Critical divergence points:

  • Opinion: Resolves to Boston Red Sox if they win, New York Yankees if they win, 50-50 for tie/cancellation
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either team wins (binary outcome), no specification for tie/cancellation handling
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Boston vs New York Y professional baseball game scheduled for August 30, 2026, at 1:35 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, it remains open until the rescheduled game concludes within two days. If canceled or rescheduled beyond two days, the market resolves to a fair price.

Opinion

In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-08-29 17:05 UTC: If the Boston Red Sox win, the market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox". If the New York Yankees win, the market will resolve to "New York Yankees". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.