TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 12, 4:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the New York Mets will defeat the Boston Red Sox in their scheduled Major League Baseball game. On Kalshi, New York M is priced at 62.0%, while Boston is at 40.0%. The market resolves based on the official result of the game originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 1:40 PM EDT. Watch for any roster changes, weather updates, or injury reports in the days leading up to the July 12 game start time.
This event covers the Boston vs New York Mets professional baseball game scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 1:40 PM EDT. Resolution is determined by the final result of the game. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled more than two days away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with standard rules.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market's odds represent consensus from traders risking real capital, which can differ meaningfully from traditional sports betting lines. Comparing the two can reveal where sharp traders see value or where public perception lags informed positioning.
This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, once the event concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. At that point, shares representing the correct outcome will be worth one dollar, and all others will expire worthless. The resolution process is automatic once the outcome is confirmed, so you do not need to take any action. Traders typically see final settlement within hours of the event ending.
Key catalysts include team roster changes, recent performance trends, injury reports, and head-to-head historical matchups. Media coverage and expert analysis can shift trader sentiment, especially as the event date approaches. Weather conditions, home-field advantage, and playoff implications may also influence positioning. Watch for sharp money flowing into one side, which often signals informed traders acting on new information or analysis that the broader market has not yet priced in.